Iibinta baabuurta tamarta cusub ee Yurub ayaa hoos u dhigtay isbeddelka, iyo fursadaha ay heli doonaan shirkadaha Shiinaha?

Bishii Ogosto 2020, iibinta baabuurta tamarta cusub ee Jarmalka, Faransiiska, Boqortooyada Ingiriiska, Norway, Portugal, Sweden, iyo Talyaaniga ayaa sii waday inay kor u kacdo, ilaa 180% sannadkiiba, iyo heerka wax-soo-saarka ayaa kor u kacay 12% (ay ku jiraan Koronto saafi ah iyo isku-dhafan).Qaybtii hore ee sanadkan, iibka baabuurta tamarta cusub ee Yurub waxa uu ahaa 403,300, taas oo ka dhigaysa suuqa ugu wayn adduunka ee baabuurta tamarta cusub hal mar.

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(Isha sawirka: Bogga rasmiga ah ee Volkswagen)

Marka la eego cudurka faafa ee sanbabka cusub ee taajka iyo hoos u dhaca suuqa baabuurta, iibinta baabuurta tamarta cusub ee Yurub ayaa kor u kacday.

Marka loo eego xogtii dhowayd ee Ururka Soosaarayaasha Baabuurta Yurub (AECA), Ogosto 2020, iibinta baabuurta tamarta cusub ee toddobada waddan ee Jarmalka, Faransiiska, Boqortooyada Ingiriiska, Norway, Portugal, Sweden, iyo Talyaaniga ayaa sii waday inay kor u kacdo, oo kor u kacay 180. % sanadba sanadka ka dambeeya, iyo heerka dhexgalka ayaa kor u kacay ilaa 12. % (oo ay ku jiraan koronto saafi ah iyo isku-dhafka plug-in).Qaybtii hore ee sanadkan, iibka baabuurta tamarta cusub ee Yurub waxa uu ahaa 403,300, taas oo ka dhigaysa suuqa ugu wayn adduunka ee baabuurta tamarta cusub hal mar.

Sida lagu sheegay warbixin ay dhawaan soo saartay Roland Berger Management Consulting, ka dib in ka badan toban sano oo korodhka joogtada ah ee iibka, iibka baabuurta caalamiga ah ayaa muujiyay isbeddel yar oo hoos u dhac ah tan iyo 2019. 2019, iibka ayaa la xidhay 88 milyan unug, sanad ka dib. hoos u dhac ka badan 6%.Roland Berger waxa uu aaminsan yahay in suuqa baabuurta tamarta cusub ee caalamiga ah uu sii kordhin doono mugga, iyo guud ahaan silsiladda warshaduhu ay leeyihiin awood weyn oo horumarineed.

Roland Berger oo ah lammaane sare oo caalami ah Zheng Yun ayaa dhawaan ku sheegay wareysi gaar ah oo uu siiyay wariye ka socda Shiinaha Business News in iibinta baabuurta tamarta cusub ee Yurub ay hoos u dhigtay isbeddelka oo inta badan ay wadaan siyaasado.Midowga Yurub ayaa dhawaan kor u qaaday heerka qiiqa kaarboonka 40% ilaa 55%, iyo qiiqa kaarboonka ee xaddidan ayaa ku dhow qiiqa sanadlaha ah ee Jarmalka, taas oo sii kordhin doonta horumarinta warshadaha tamarta cusub.

Zheng Yun wuxuu aaminsan yahay in tani ay saddex saameyn ku yeelan doonto horumarinta warshadaha tamarta cusub: marka hore, mashiinka gubashada gudaha ayaa si tartiib tartiib ah uga baxaya marxaladda taariikhda;labaad, shirkadaha cusub ee baabuurta tamarta ayaa sii kordhin doona qaabeynta silsiladda warshadaha oo dhan;Seddexaad, Isdhexgalka Korontada, sirdoonka, isku xirka, iyo wadaagga ayaa noqon doona isbeddelka guud ee horumarinta baabuurta.

Siyaasadu ku dhisan tahay

Zheng Yun waxa uu aaminsan yahay in horumarka suuqa baabuurta tamarta cusub ee Yurub marxaladdan ay inta badan horseedo maalgelinta dawladda iyo dhiirigelinta canshuurta iyo xaddidaadda qiiqa carbon.

Marka loo eego xisaabaadka ay samaysay Xingye, cashuuraha iyo khidmadaha lagu soo rogay baabuurta batroolka ee Yurub oo aad u sarreeya awgeed iyo kabka baabuurta korontada ee waddamo kala duwan, qiimaha iibka baabuurta korontada ee macaamiisha ee Norway, Jarmalka iyo Faransiiska ayaa horeba uga hooseeya taas. baabuurta shidaalka (10% -20% celcelis ahaan).%)

"Marxaladdan, dawladdu waxay dirtay calaamad muujinaysa inay doonayso inay si firfircoon u dhiirrigeliso ilaalinta deegaanka iyo mashaariicda tamarta cusub.Tani waa war wanaagsan oo loogu talagalay baabuurta iyo shirkadaha qaybaha ee joogitaanka Yurub."Zheng Yun wuxuu yidhi, gaar ahaan, shirkadaha baabuurta, alaab-qeybiyeyaasha qaybaha, bixiyeyaasha kaabayaasha sida ku dallacaadaha, iyo bixiyeyaasha adeegga tignoolajiyada dhijitaalka ah ayaa dhamaantood ka faa'iideysan doona.

Isla mar ahaantaana, wuxuu aaminsan yahay in kobaca mustaqbalka ee suuqa baabuurta tamarta cusub ee Yurub uu sii socon karo waxay ku xiran tahay saddex arrimood muddada gaaban: Marka hore, haddii kharashka isticmaalka korontada si wax ku ool ah loo xakameyn karo si kharashka isticmaalka tamarta cusub baabuurtu waxay la mid tahay kuwa shidaalka;Midda labaad, ma la dhimi karaa kharashka dallacaadda tooska ah ee korontada-sare;Saddexaad, tignoolajiyada wadista mobiladu way jabi kartaa.

Horumarka dhexe iyo kan fogba wuxuu ku xidhan yahay xoojinta siyaasada.Waxa uu intaa ku daray in marka la eego siyaasadaha kabitaanka, 24 ka mid ah 27-ka waddan ee EU-da ayaa soo bandhigay siyaasad cusub oo dhiirigelinta baabuurta tamarta ah, iyo 12 waddan ayaa qaatay siyaasad dhiirigelin ah oo labajibbaaran oo ah kabitaan iyo dhiirigelin canshuureed.Marka la eego xaddidaadda qiiqa kaarboonka, ka dib markii Midowga Yurub uu soo bandhigay xeerarkii ugu adkeyd ee qiiqa kaarboonka taariikhda, waddamada Midowga Yurub ayaa wali farqi weyn u leh 2021-ka la beegsanayo 95g/km.

Marka laga soo tago dhiirigelinta siyaasadda, dhinaca sahayda, shirkadaha waaweyn ee baabuurta ayaa sidoo kale sameynaya dadaallo.Moodooyinka ay matalaan Volkswagen's MEB ee taxanaha aqoonsiga ayaa la bilaabay Sebtembar, Teslas-ka Maraykanka ayaa lagu soo raray Hong Kong ilaa Ogosto, mugga sahayda ayaa si aad ah u kordhay.

Dhanka baahida, warbixinta Roland Berger ayaa muujisay in suuqyada sida Spain, Italy, Sweden, France, iyo Germany, 25% ilaa 55% dadku waxay sheegeen inay tixgelinayaan iibsashada gawaarida tamarta cusub, taas oo ka sareysa celceliska adduunka.

"Qaybaha dhoofinta waxay u badan tahay inay ka faa'ideystaan ​​fursadda"

Iibinta baabuurta tamarta cusub ee Yurub waxay sidoo kale u keentay fursadaha warshadaha la xidhiidha Shiinaha.Sida laga soo xigtay xogta ka soo baxday Rugta Ganacsiga ee Adeegyada Korontada iyo Makaanikada, dalkaygu wuxuu u dhoofiyay Yurub 23,000 baabuur tamarta cusub qeybtii hore ee sanadkan, wadar ahaan 760 milyan oo doolarka Maraykanka ah.Yurub waa suuqa ugu weyn ee dalkaygu u dhoofiyo baabuurta tamarta cusub.

Zheng Yun wuxuu aaminsan yahay in suuqa baabuurta tamarta cusub ee Yurub, fursadaha shirkadaha Shiinaha laga yaabo inay ku jiraan saddex arrimood: qaybo dhoofinta, dhoofinta baabuurta, iyo qaababka ganacsiga.Fursadda gaarka ah waxay ku xiran tahay heerka farsamada ee shirkadaha Shiinaha ee hal dhinac, iyo dhibka soo degaya dhinaca kale.

Zheng Yun wuxuu sheegay in qaybaha dhoofinta ay u badan tahay in laga faa'iidaysto fursadda.Goobta "saddexda awood" ee qaybaha baabuurta tamarta cusub, shirkadaha Shiinaha waxay leeyihiin faa'iidooyin muuqda oo ku saabsan baytariyada.

Sanadihii la soo dhaafay, tignoolajiyada baytariyada tamarta wadankeygu waxay samaysay horumar weyn, gaar ahaan cufnaanta tamarta iyo nidaamka walxaha nidaamka batteriga ayaa si aad ah u soo fiicnaaday.Marka loo eego tirakoobyada ay soo jeedisay Wasaaradda Warshadaha iyo Tignoolajiyada Warfaafinta, celceliska cufnaanta tamarta nidaamka baytariga ee baabuurta rakaabka korontada saafiga ah ayaa si joogto ah kor loogu qaaday min 104.3Wh/kg ee 2017 ilaa 152.6Wh/kg, taas oo si weyn u yaraynaysa walaaca masaafada.

Zheng Yun waxa uu aaminsan yahay in suuqa kaliya ee Shiinuhu uu aad u weyn yahay, isla markaana uu leeyahay faa'iidooyin miisaankiisa, iyada oo maalgelin weyn lagu sameeyo R&D xagga tignoolajiyada, iyo noocyo badan oo ganacsi oo cusub oo la sahamin karo."Si kastaba ha ahaatee, qaabka ganacsigu waxa uu noqon karaa kan ugu adag in la aado dibadda, iyo dhibka ugu weyni waa soo degista."Zheng Yun waxa uu sheegay in Shiinuhu uu mar horeba safka hore kaga jiro adduunka xagga lacag-bixinta iyo hababka wax-is-beddelka, laakiin haddii tignoolajiyadu ay la qabsan karto heerarka Yurub iyo sida loola kaashado shirkadaha Yurub ayaa weli ah dhibaatada.

Dhanka kale, waxa uu xasuusiyay in mustaqbalka, haddii shirkadaha Shiinuhu ay doonayaan in ay geeyaan suuqa baabuurta tamarta cusub ee Yurub, ay dhici karto khatar ah in shirkadaha baabuurta Shiinaha ay qayb hoose ka helaan suuqa ugu sarreeya, horumarkuna ay adkaan karaan. .Shirkadaha Yurub iyo Ameerika, shirkadaha baabuurta dhaqameed iyo kuwa cusub ee baabuurta tamarta ayaa durba bilaabay gawaarida tamarta cusub, moodooyinka sare ee ay sameeyeen waxay caqabad ku noqon doonaan ballaarinta shirkadaha Shiinaha ee Yurub.

Waqtigan xaadirka ah, shirkadaha baabuurta Yurub ee caadiga ah waxay dardargelinayaan u gudbitaankooda koronto.U soo qaado Volkswagen tusaale ahaan.Volkswagen ayaa soo saartay istaraatiijiyaddeeda "Qorshaha Maalgelinta 2020-2024", iyada oo ku dhawaaqday inay kordhin doonto iibka wadarta baabuurta korontada ku shaqeeya oo dhan 26 milyan sanadka 2029.

Suuqa hadda jira, saamiga suuqa ee shirkadaha baabuurta ee Yurub ayaa sidoo kale si tartiib tartiib ah u kordhaya.Xogtii ugu dambeysay ee Ururka Warshadaha Baabuurta ee Jarmalka (KBA) ayaa muujinaya in suuqa baabuurta korontada ee Jarmalka, Volkswagen, Renault, Hyundai iyo noocyada kale ee baabuurta dhaqameed ay ku dhow yihiin saddex-meelood laba meelood suuqa.

Sida laga soo xigtay warbaahinta ajnabiga ah, qeybtii hore ee sanadkan, baabuurta Faransiiska ee Renault ee dhammaan korontada ku jirta Zoe ayaa ku guuleystay horyaalka Yurub, koror ku dhow 50% sanad kasta.Qaybtii hore ee 2020, Renault Zoe waxa ay iibisay in ka badan 36,000 oo baabuur, taas oo ka sarraysa Tesla's Model 3's 33,000 baabuur iyo Volkswagen Golf's 18,000 baabuur.

"Marka la eego gawaarida tamarta cusub, tartanka mustaqbalka iyo xiriirka iskaashiga ayaa noqon doona mid aad u mugdi badan.Baabuurta tamarta cusub kaliya kama faa'iidaysan karaan habka korantada, laakiin waxa kale oo laga yaabaa inay horumar cusub ka sameeyaan wadista iskood u wadida iyo adeegyada dhijitaalka ah.Wadaagista faa'iidada ee shirkado kala duwan, Wadaagista Khatartu waxay noqon kartaa nooc horumarineed oo wanaagsan."Zheng Yun ayaa yidhi.

——-war isha


Waqtiga boostada: Oct-10-2020